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Post by Deleted on Mar 22, 2019 14:54:15 GMT -5
It's way too early, but Virginia is currently losing to a 16-seed right now. This is the only true upset I was calling for. Virginia has proven now they have a bad record against teams others would easily beat, and the psychological effect is getting to them.
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Spider2024
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Post by Spider2024 on Mar 22, 2019 15:07:14 GMT -5
Charles Barkley: "I GUARANTEE... that this is NOT going to happen again!" (That's him telling his bookie, whom he made put $1,500 on Virginia to win today.)
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Post by Deleted on Mar 22, 2019 15:48:44 GMT -5
It's way too early, but Virginia is currently losing to a 16-seed right now. This is the only true upset I was calling for. Virginia has proven now they have a bad record against teams others would easily beat, and the psychological effect is getting to them. Well scratch that. Virginia up by double digits now.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 22, 2019 16:01:17 GMT -5
This is the only true upset I was calling for. Virginia has proven now they have a bad record against teams others would easily beat, and the psychological effect is getting to them. Well scratch that. Virginia up by double digits now. They finally figured it out. I'm guessing that a #16 seed winning has to require a lot of things going exactly right, and most of the time, a #16 seed proves why they are a #16 seed.
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Post by Seth Drakin of Monster Crap on Mar 22, 2019 16:34:54 GMT -5
Well scratch that. Virginia up by double digits now. They finally figured it out. I'm guessing that a #16 seed winning has to require a lot of things going exactly right, and most of the time, a #16 seed proves why they are a #16 seed. Well, even then, it also has to come up against a #1 seed who is not ready nor adjusts well enough after halftime.
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Post by sfvega on Mar 22, 2019 16:52:06 GMT -5
Y'all really thought Virginia was going down again? A top team in the nation with a gigantic chip on their shoulder against a middling team? You can't expect a once-in-a-lifetime upset two years in a row to the same team at that.
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Post by cabbageboy on Mar 22, 2019 17:15:26 GMT -5
Yeah but given how awesome OU looked today I could certainly see UVA going down in the next round. The South is the one region where chaos might start reigning. Kansas St. is already toast, which is a bit jarring since I reluctantly had them in the Sweet 16. Now if Wisconsin goes down that kinda sabotages that part of the bracket for me. I thought about that UC Irvine upset too, but didn't pull the trigger. I should have remembered K-State had injury problems.
I'm going to have to total things up after this round is over. I haven't lost anyone truly major but have lost a couple of Sweet 16 picks (NM State, K-State).
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Post by Seth Drakin of Monster Crap on Mar 22, 2019 17:39:15 GMT -5
I think we can call Wisconsin dead
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Post by Duke Cameron on Mar 22, 2019 17:43:10 GMT -5
So only real upset so far is UC Irvine over Kansas State.
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Post by Milkman Norm on Mar 22, 2019 18:34:32 GMT -5
As a Badger fan I had 2013 flashbacks watching that game. Man.
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Brainbustaaah!
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Post by Brainbustaaah! on Mar 22, 2019 19:06:32 GMT -5
NDSU swinging hard against Duke here. I want to see a miracle. I want to see THE miracle.
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Post by sfvega on Mar 22, 2019 19:57:45 GMT -5
Yeah but given how awesome OU looked today I could certainly see UVA going down in the next round. The South is the one region where chaos might start reigning. Kansas St. is already toast, which is a bit jarring since I reluctantly had them in the Sweet 16. Now if Wisconsin goes down that kinda sabotages that part of the bracket for me. I thought about that UC Irvine upset too, but didn't pull the trigger. I should have remembered K-State had injury problems. I'm going to have to total things up after this round is over. I haven't lost anyone truly major but have lost a couple of Sweet 16 picks (NM State, K-State). Anything can happen in a single-elim tournament, but UVA is a markedly better team than OU. They're even favored by 11. I don't know why people think one really bad game on this squad makes UVA some dog when they've been a great team for 2 years.
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Post by sfvega on Mar 22, 2019 20:02:50 GMT -5
RJ Barrett has never seen a shot he doesn't like and gets tunnel vision every offensive board he gets. I feel like that is gonna cost them once they play better competition in the E8 or F4.
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Post by Duke Cameron on Mar 22, 2019 20:54:13 GMT -5
Liberty upsets Mississippi St.
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Post by The Kevstaaa on Mar 22, 2019 21:17:21 GMT -5
Yeah but given how awesome OU looked today I could certainly see UVA going down in the next round. The South is the one region where chaos might start reigning. Kansas St. is already toast, which is a bit jarring since I reluctantly had them in the Sweet 16. Now if Wisconsin goes down that kinda sabotages that part of the bracket for me. I thought about that UC Irvine upset too, but didn't pull the trigger. I should have remembered K-State had injury problems. I'm going to have to total things up after this round is over. I haven't lost anyone truly major but have lost a couple of Sweet 16 picks (NM State, K-State). Anything can happen in a single-elim tournament, but UVA is a markedly better team than OU. They're even favored by 11. I don't know why people think one really bad game on this squad makes UVA some dog when they've been a great team for 2 years. I have trouble trusting Virginia just because they kind of always do this. With the win today, they're just 8-6 under their current coach in tournament history and they're always a high ranked team.
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Gus Richlen Was Wrong
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Post by Gus Richlen Was Wrong on Mar 22, 2019 21:35:49 GMT -5
As a Badger fan I had 2013 flashbacks watching that game. Man. I hate to say it as a fan myself, but this was one of the easiest picks to make. How the committee thought we were a 5 is beyond me. We have been inconsistent all season and the shit version that lost to mediocre teams was what got beaten senseless by Oregon.
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Post by sfvega on Mar 22, 2019 21:45:25 GMT -5
Anything can happen in a single-elim tournament, but UVA is a markedly better team than OU. They're even favored by 11. I don't know why people think one really bad game on this squad makes UVA some dog when they've been a great team for 2 years. I have trouble trusting Virginia just because they kind of always do this. With the win today, they're just 8-6 under their current coach in tournament history and they're always a high ranked team. I don't see them going terribly deep, but I don't think they go out early either. Last time they were a 1 seed before the historic upset, they went to the E8. I think they make it that far this year. I think they're just getting too discounted by people.
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Post by cabbageboy on Mar 22, 2019 22:36:00 GMT -5
Well, UVA basically has to beat a Big 12 also ran in Oklahoma and then either Oregon or UC Irvine to get to the Elite 8. That isn't a Herculean task. As far as Wisconsin goes, they were just one of those oddly overrated teams in the NET and various computers. I noted that the Badgers are typically a good tourney team but that was under Bo Ryan, not so much now. Wisconsin was 17th in the NET, though only 27 in the RPI. The RPI would have put them more like a 7 seed, which is more like what they really were this year. Miss St. is the same deal, inexplicably high in the NET (19) despite not doing anything of note. Miss St. is #26 in the RPI, which again would be about a 7 seed. That's closer to what they were. Frankly I think the committee puts these deliberately crappy 5 seeds out there just so there can be the obvious 5/12 upsets. What I don't get is how Marquette even got a 5 when their NET is only 28 and RPI is 32. Marquette was a legit 5 seed before cratering late in the season and losing 5 of 6. After that? Bleh. Just a 5 seed to be upset bait for a scary 12 seed Murray St.
My bracket sucks. I have gotten basically every 50/50 type game wrong. All of the 7/10s, all the 8/9 if UCF wins. I also missed every play in game, though that didn't really matter for online contests since I just picked them to lose anyway. I've lost a couple of Sweet 16 teams though, with K-St. going down today and NM St. doing whatever the hell that was yesterday.
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Post by The Kevstaaa on Mar 23, 2019 7:25:48 GMT -5
Had my worst opening round since I started doing a bracket challenge with friends and family in 2013. 19-13. I'm sitting in sole possession of last place in my pool.
I need to go with my gut again next year. This year, I tinkered too much and made changes near the end (like picking Utah State).
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Post by cabbageboy on Mar 23, 2019 10:02:30 GMT -5
You have pretty much what I have then, 19 out of 32. My brother was ready to throw his in the trash or burn it, but he actually has 21/32 right. Of course he has weird stuff like Ole Miss in the Elite 8, so that will keep wrecking him going forward. I haven't lost anyone major like a FF team or Elite 8, but all of the 8/9 and 7/10 games killed me. I seriously missed every single one of them! My brother's permanent hatred of Cincy at least helped him here, since he picked Iowa.
I gotta say...the ACC hasn't really rocked my world here. Duke, UNC, and Virginia all looked at various points like crap against 16 seed jobbers. U of L and Syracuse lost with zero fanfare. Va Tech was pretty solid and has a solid road to getting maimed by an angry Duke in the Sweet 16 for winning that game when Duke had no Zion. FSU was meh but advanced, even though I think Murray takes them out.
Now that I think of it, has any conference looked particularly great? The Big 10 (groan) has done okay thus far I guess, with both Michigan teams winning as expected, Purdue won pretty easy, Maryland survived an upset scare, even OSU pulled off the upset. Iowa beat Cincy. Minnesota beat U of L. It was really just Wisconsin that embarrassed themselves.
This is obviously early but the best teams thus far in this tourney have been Gonzaga and UK. The only two that flat out went and squashed a jobber like a serious 1/2 seed team should. I'm talking give the jobber zero hope, no moderate comeback to get within 20, just a waxing.
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