XFL Reboot Thread Apr 18, 2019 15:40:12 GMT -5 via mobile
Post by sfvega on Apr 18, 2019 15:40:12 GMT -5
Took a look at the numbers for just 1 conference, a traditional college powerhouse the SEC. 125 players with a 4 star or better rating. 2018 class 247sports.com/Season/2018-Football/CompositeTeamRankings/ if you'd like to see more numbers.
Ok, I see what you're saying. I wouldn't say they are horrible odds, but definitely dependent on talent, opportunity, program, etc. A great deal of 4-5 star recruits will make it to the NFL.
Some may be drafted, a few others will come in as UFDA. The vast majority of that 125 will not play professional football. This is a huge untapped pool of players who
1. have talent else they wouldn't be 4 or 5 star recruits coming out of high school
2. will not make 1 dime from their talent.
The sheer numbers work against you
You realize that the SEC had 50+ players drafted last year, not including the UDFA who are mostly guys who make up practice squads.
I'm not saying everyone makes it to the league. That's a given. What I'm saying is that if you WANT to make it to the league, you go through the most proven route. As much as I keep talking about having a back-up plan, these kids who are highly touted recruits going to SEC schools have their eyes locked on playing pro football and playing it in the NFL. The majority of any sport isn't going to go pro, outside of those pro factories. A kid that goes to Miami Ohio or Colorado St isn't likely to make the league or the XFL. But for those good enough to have the choice, it's likely they see what the NFL dream will get them before considering the XFL a viable option. I don't see top HS kids going to the XFL which lasted 10 weeks last go around. I don't see almost any that would be considered as good enough underclassmen going, because they are still going to be focus on making it in the actual football league. Once again, I think the kids who go to the XFL will be underclassmen who have eligibility issues or upperclassmen whose NFL grade is very low.