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Post by ritt works hard fo da chickens on Dec 3, 2015 0:07:30 GMT -5
so the winner either has to be Jeremy, Spencer, or Wentworth. outside shot of Tasha but if a male pagonging is afoot, it would really be a sour end to a great season, as the narrative would just be Wentworth winning with no dramatic moments. I still think enough hints have been dropped that Abi is winning barring a flip in the jury. No way is Abi winning. The most notorious goat winner Natalie was understandable. Russel was despicable, she was nice. Abi is despicable. She's been mean and condescending to half the jury. Unless she turns on the waterworks and the other two flop socially between now and the final jury questioning or someone goes to bat for her like Erik did for Nat, I just can't see it.
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Post by RadcapRadsley on Dec 3, 2015 0:31:12 GMT -5
so the winner either has to be Jeremy, Spencer, or Wentworth. outside shot of Tasha but if a male pagonging is afoot, it would really be a sour end to a great season, as the narrative would just be Wentworth winning with no dramatic moments. I don't think we will see a gender based Pagonging just because we are being given lots of fan favorite personal content from Spencer/Jeremy. One of those 2 guys is gonna win or at least get a respectable amount of 2nd place votes. Abi/Kelley are getting heel edits + Kimmi from exit interviews is being spoken of very highly by everyone but has been non existent all but 2 episodes.
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Post by RadcapRadsley on Dec 3, 2015 0:36:46 GMT -5
I still think enough hints have been dropped that Abi is winning barring a flip in the jury. No way is Abi winning. The most notorious goat winner Natalie was understandable. Russel was despicable, she was nice. Abi is despicable. She's been mean and condescending to half the jury. Unless she turns on the waterworks and the other two flop socially between now and the final jury questioning or someone goes to bat for her like Erik did for Nat, I just can't see it. Natalie wasn't really a goat though. Samoa was just a case of the most one sided edit in Survivor history. I remember seeing a confessional count for that season somewhere and basically everyone who made the merge but Russell and Shambo were at Carter/Sierra/Cowboy Rick/Darrah levels.
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fw91
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Post by fw91 on Dec 3, 2015 0:38:58 GMT -5
so the winner either has to be Jeremy, Spencer, or Wentworth. outside shot of Tasha but if a male pagonging is afoot, it would really be a sour end to a great season, as the narrative would just be Wentworth winning with no dramatic moments. I don't think we will see a gender based Pagonging just because we are being given lots of fan favorite personal content from Spencer/Jeremy. One of those 2 guys is gonna win or at least get a respectable amount of 2nd place votes. Abi/Kelley are getting heel edits + Kimmi from exit interviews is being spoken of very highly by everyone but has been non existent all but 2 episodes. I really think Kelley only wins if she's in an all female final 3 or if Keith is the only male. Would be interesting to see Jeremy/Spencer both there at the end. Could be a Yul/Ozzy showdown, but I'm not sure who plays the role of Becky. Abi fits the mold, but I see her going soon as a scarifical lamb for Spencer/Jeremy should a male pagoning happen
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Post by Triple H buried SnS on Dec 3, 2015 9:42:38 GMT -5
I don't see abi winning except on maybe some bitter jury, and I just don't see that with this group.
Will be interesting to see if the women's alliance takes hold. Wentworth is the obvious favorite if that happens, with Tasha 2nd.
Putting into tiers.. Tier 1(possible winners): Jeremy Spencer Wentworth
Tier 2 (Can possibly swing the game in their favor either by eliminating Tier 1 or upping their game at the end): Kimmi Tasha
Tier 3 (Don't see them winning at all) Abi Keith
---
If I did them in absolute order.. I would currently rank it... Jeremy Wentworth Spencer Tasha Kimmi Keith Abi
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Post by ritt works hard fo da chickens on Dec 3, 2015 12:44:30 GMT -5
I don't see abi winning except on maybe some bitter jury, and I just don't see that with this group. Will be interesting to see if the women's alliance takes hold. Wentworth is the obvious favorite if that happens, with Tasha 2nd. Putting into tiers.. Tier 1(possible winners): Jeremy Spencer Wentworth Tier 2 (Can possibly swing the game in their favor either by eliminating Tier 1 or upping their game at the end): Kimmi Tasha Tier 3 (Don't see them winning at all) Abi Keith --- If I did them in absolute order.. I would currently rank it... Jeremy Wentworth Spencer Tasha Kimmi Keith Abi I think Tasha is below Keith. It can be argued Keith didn't do much socially, but he also didn't step on as many toes. Tasha went hard on Kass and then helped put her on the jury. Kass is a lawyer who gets to question her before people vote. Add onto that everyone who goes to jury from now on has to sit in Ponderosa and talk about the remaining survivors with Kass. Tash can't beat Spencer imo and if she reunites him and Kass, it's gonna be some bad Tasha stories at Ponderosa I bet.
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Post by RadcapRadsley on Dec 3, 2015 18:46:01 GMT -5
Kass is someone who was disliked by everyone but 2 people and Spencer is a young kid. If Tasha has been playing a good social game(something the edit has not shown 1 way or another) and can make a strong case for herself those 2 would not be able to make the case against her. Kass the charecter is great but historically Lawyers are actually pretty crap Survivor players.
It's hard to say Spencer would be a tier 1 winner based on gameplay since he blew up his own game premerge by being Shirin's new Max then was only saved by a shuffle of which he survived because of a preexisting friendship with Stephen and Savage's stupidly towards Ciera.Then at the merge gives the numbers to Jeremy's alliance and would probably be out of the game by now if not for Kelley's idol play on Savage.
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Post by cageking666 on Dec 3, 2015 19:02:12 GMT -5
My only logical question is why would Jeremy and Spencer vote for Joe knowing there's an all girl alliance on the horizon?
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Post by fw91 on Dec 3, 2015 19:33:42 GMT -5
My only logical question is why would Jeremy and Spencer vote for Joe knowing there's an all girl alliance on the horizon? my guess is they have hope to solidify Tasha as their 3rd by saying if you do the girl thing, you'll be number 4 behind Wentworth/Kimmi/Abi. You join us you'll be our number 3 into the finals. They loop Keith in by telling him of the girls alliance and now they have the numbers
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Urethra Franklin
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Post by Urethra Franklin on Dec 4, 2015 4:26:17 GMT -5
My only logical question is why would Jeremy and Spencer vote for Joe knowing there's an all girl alliance on the horizon? Because Joe can legitimately run the table when it comes to challenges. When you've got the shot to eliminate the biggest physical threat in the game, you've gotta take it.
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Post by ritt works hard fo da chickens on Dec 4, 2015 6:10:24 GMT -5
My only logical question is why would Jeremy and Spencer vote for Joe knowing there's an all girl alliance on the horizon? Because Joe can legitimately run the table when it comes to challenges. When you've got the shot to eliminate the biggest physical threat in the game, you've gotta take it. Can he though? I mean sure it is possible, but he just passed out. The biggest threat to the men is a woman's alliance. That's happened more often then one person running the table. I understand Jeremy feels safe with his idol, but Spencer looked nervous and Keith should be. He's the least one in with Jeremy's alliance and he's as big a threat to run the table as Joe. That old guy can go.
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Post by trollrogue on Dec 5, 2015 15:36:35 GMT -5
Honestly I think Abi wins if the Women's Alliance actually happens. The leader of the alliance (Wentworth) would face a bitter jury in at least the last few jury members, Ciera is probably the only sure vote Wentworth can count on if she makes it to the end. If the guys go down by a female alliance, they will gladly throw their $1M vote to Abi the darkhorse that they kept for an extra elimination vote.
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fw91
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Post by fw91 on Dec 5, 2015 16:01:54 GMT -5
Honestly I think Abi wins if the Women's Alliance actually happens. The leader of the alliance (Wentworth) would face a bitter jury in at least the last few jury members, Ciera is probably the only sure vote Wentworth can count on if she makes it to the end. If the guys go down by a female alliance, they will gladly throw their $1M vote to Abi the darkhorse that they kept for an extra elimination vote. no way. Kimmi has a chance but not Abi. This is a jury of players.
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Post by ritt works hard fo da chickens on Dec 9, 2015 20:20:30 GMT -5
Keith vs. Tasha.
Look what you got yourselves into Jeremy and Spencer.
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Waffel113
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Post by Waffel113 on Dec 9, 2015 20:23:04 GMT -5
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/36/DJKhaledICALDlx.jpg) ~ Spencer Bledsoe, 2015
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Post by cageking666 on Dec 9, 2015 20:23:40 GMT -5
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/36/DJKhaledICALDlx.jpg) ~ Spencer Bledsoe, 2015 Complete with beard and chunky belly
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BigJerichool222
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Post by BigJerichool222 on Dec 9, 2015 20:29:22 GMT -5
I don't like this talk about getting rid of Keith. NOPE. Not one bit.
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Post by cageking666 on Dec 9, 2015 20:31:24 GMT -5
I don't like this talk about getting rid of Keith. NOPE. Not one bit. It's looking like Tasha and Abi Keep the Sheep and get rid of the player OR do as Tasha says, get rid of the chaos and knock out the girls alliance before it can start
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Waffel113
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Post by Waffel113 on Dec 9, 2015 20:32:07 GMT -5
I don't like this talk about getting rid of Keith. NOPE. Not one bit. It's looking like Tasha and Abi Keep the Sheep and get rid of the player OR do as Tasha says, get rid of the chaos and knock out the girls alliance before it can start Real catch-22. Abi's an unknown element the further the game goes, but Tasha, while more ostensibly trustworthy, is a pretty big player (or at least seems to be). I'm interested to see how this shakes out.
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Post by cageking666 on Dec 9, 2015 20:41:06 GMT -5
It's looking like Tasha and Abi Keep the Sheep and get rid of the player OR do as Tasha says, get rid of the chaos and knock out the girls alliance before it can start Real catch-22. Abi's an unknown element the further the game goes, but Tasha, while more ostensibly trustworthy, is a pretty big player (or at least seems to be). I'm interested to see how this shakes out. *sees immunity challenge* We may see a repeat of Joe
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