Post by Push Val Venis was wrong on Jan 15, 2020 10:16:50 GMT -5
I imagine the NFL and all their sponsors have hard glass-cutting type nipples thinking about the chances of getting a Chiefs vs Green Bay/49'ers Superbowl. And the Titan's vs Anybody makes them a Sad Panda.
So I'm hoping the Titans win the Whole, Damn, Thing.
But that's my heart talkin'. Brain says Chiefs vs 49'ers with the Chief's either winning Big OR losing due to clock mismanagement in the final minute. But my Brain is kinda an idiot. I thought the Raven's had the Superbowl in the bag. So what the hell do I know.
I've been surprisingly good at my picks so far.....
Had the Ravens losing their first game due to rust etc...only one I missed was I thought the 49ers would lose but mainly cause I thought they'd get Seattle and not Minnesota. But either way my Bowl pick is still alive so I'm gonna roll with KC vs GB.
Patti Mayonnaise Are You Gonna Go My Way?
My picks went 2-2 last weekend, 3-5 overall in the playoffs.
- Kansas City 27, Tennessee 16: Derrick Henry's on an unprecedented run of postseason dominance and he's about to face the 26th-ranked run defense in the NFL, which could spell trouble for the Chiefs. But he and the Titans will need to control the game's tempo from opening kickoff for their 25th-ranked pass defense to hang with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs' offense. If the Titans can possess the ball for close to 40 minutes and force a turnover or two, they have a chance. But anything short of playing a nearly-perfect game will mean victory for Kansas City.
- San Francisco 34, Green Bay 21: It won't be nearly the bloodbath we saw a few weeks back when the Niners squashed Green Bay by 29 points, but I'm also not expecting much of a contest. San Francisco has been top-to-bottom the best team in the league and there's still too many unavoidable flaws in Green Bay for me to think they'll go into Silicon Valley and leave with a win. While the burden isn't solely on him, thanks to the breakout of Aaron Jones, Aaron Rodgers will have to find that mojo from 2010 and 2011 and he and Davante Adams will have to pick apart Richard Sherman for the Packers to advance to the Super Bowl.
Patti Mayonnaise Are You Gonna Go My Way?
I'll break this game down a bit more in depth here, since obviously I have a vested interest in it.
A couple of stats to know that kind of mess with the narrative that is being spoken for this game. The Titans redzone defense sits at 68.1 TD%, that is 31st in the league only Houston was worse. The next thing that people will go to is the "Titans shorten the game" narrative, I'm really not sure that is true. Against New England the Patriots ran 61 offensive plays and 62 on defense, so that is basically even. Against Baltimore the Ravens had 97 offensive plays and 55 on defense. Neither one of these numbers really convinces me that the Titans are going to shorten the game, the Ravens had 12 offensive drives...the Chiefs had 13 in the Houston game.
When you really examine these numbers for this game what I see is this, I see Tennessee benefited from getting the 2 teams in the playoffs that couldn't throw the ball effectively. They took advantage of that, Baltimore had ample chances to win that game and do something and just kept shitting their pants over and over. New England held them to 14 offensive points, that should win you the game.
Now to move to something else, I expect Derrick Henry to put up numbers, but numbers don't matter if they don't lead to points. New England handled that the right way, yes he got yards but not points. The Chiefs are really the first team that the Titans are going to face in the playoffs that can expose their pass defense. To win this game they're going to have to be better than they were in the last 2 because if you give Patrick Mahomes 13 drives and 97 plays...that's 35+ points.
Also the Titans are getting ready to play their 4th road game in a row and in KC this weekend it's looking like a cold one...upper teens. I think you'll see a team that is a little bit more tired than the Chiefs team, and a little less talented.I expect them to put up a tough effort and do what they can but on the road I don't think it's enough. Mahomes is hot and the minute he turns this game into a track meet it gets the Titans out of their game quite a bit.
I think you're looking at a final that looks something like 38-20 Chiefs.
"I feel like nobody in the NFL can guard any of us, and that's no disrespect to nobody," receiver Tyreek Hill said Wednesday. "That's just the confidence that I got in myself and the wideouts I've got around me, including the tight ends and the running backs. I feel like no DB unit, no secondary unit, no linebacker, any defense can guard any of us. So man-to-man is just easy for us to beat. If you just allow us to run through zones, it's even easier."
"(Henry is) not hard to hit," Clark said, according to NFL Network. "He's just a big guy ... honestly he should be running harder at his weight and his size. I don't see no difficulty in tackling him."
"...He's just easy to me up front because I don't look at any running back like they can't be tackled. He's not one of the best guys at breaking tackles to me honestly. He's just a big body, and when people look at him, they're scared to tackle him or they look at him and they're scared to play aggressive. I think I'm the aggressor. I know I am."
Okay, Chiefs, two problems here:
1. Why on earth are you actively providing motivation for a team that has thus far done nothing but feed off of motivation en route to two road playoff victories? Did you see what Derrick Henry did to Earl Thomas last Saturday night? By now, after having seen what the Titans did to the Patriots and the Ravens, wouldn't you think it's wise that the best thing to do would be keep your mouth shut and let your play do the talking? Then again, given their histories, no one has ever accused Tyreek Hill or Frank Clark of doing the wise, or right, thing.
2. For a team that's never won crap, the Kansas City Chiefs are really puffing their chests out after a single playoff win. This is a team that has lost home playoff games to lesser competition each of the last three seasons, what the hell have they done to earn the right to talk this much trash?
So who does everyone want to personally see win tonight? (For both games, just in case the #1 team you're a fan of is still in these playoffs.)
I want either the Chiefs or 49ers to win it all over the other two, so I'm rooting for them today. (Although I wouldn't mind Packers, since my pre-season pick for the SB54 matchup was indeed Chiefs/Packers. I also wouldn't mind Titans going to the Super Bowl for the lulz.)